Okur, Brewer lead Jazz past Grizzlies
Basketball Betting Lines
11/23/2008 -
Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mehmet Okur scored 23 points, leading the
shorthanded Utah Jazz to a 103-94 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies.
Ronnie Brewer scored 21 points for the Jazz, who were playing without Carlos
Boozer (quad), Deron Williams (ankle) and Kyle Korver (wrist). Morris Almond
had 11 points, while Ronnie Price scored 10 in the victory.
Utah used a 54.7 percent (41-of-75) shooting night to give the team its third
win in four games. Brewer led the way, making 10-of-14 shots from the field,
while Okur shot 9-of-15 on the night.
O.J. Mayo had a team-high 23 points -- including 10-of-10 from the free throw
line -- for Memphis, losers of five out of six. Rudy Gay had 21 points, while
rookie Darrell Arthur scored 16 points and grabbed nine rebounds in the loss.
Mike Conley added 14 points for Memphis.
Mayo's three midway through the opening period gave the hosts an early 15-9
edge, but C.J. Miles answered with a three, and Utah took a 28-25 lead heading
into the second quarter.
Okur lead all scorers at halftime with 11, and the Jazz held a 50-43 lead at
the break.
Price and Brewer combined to score 12 points in the third quarter for Utah,
and the visitors held a 77-69 lead headed into the final quarter.
Okur hit a three-pointer early in the fourth to give the Jazz a 13-point lead,
and an easy layup by Almond stretched it to 15. Utah never looked back, and
Memphis didn't get any closer than nine for the rest of the game.
Game Notes
Utah has beaten Memphis six straight times...Memphis turned the ball over 18
times, while Utah turned it over 16 times...The Grizzlies shot 46.7 percent
(35-of-75) from the floor...Conley shot 6-of-9 from the field...Utah's Andrei
Kirilenko had nine points and a game-best 10 assists.
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Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Yao Ming recorded 22 points and 13 rebounds and
Houston once again went to Orlando and left with a victory in a 100-95
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Tracy McGrady scored 17 points against his former team
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over In
Louisville opens season by leveling Morehead State >>
Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Samardo Samuels scored 18 points with five
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Cardinals began their season by running past Morehead State, 79-41, in the
opening
Kahut's game-winning FG helps Beavers inch closer to Pac-10 title >>
Tucson, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Justin Kahut kicked a 24-yard field goal as time
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21st-ranked Oregon State Beavers kept their Pac-10 tile and Rose Bowl hopes
alive w
Hard check forces Colorado D Foote to depart early >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Colorado's Adam Foote left Saturday's
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momentarily motionless on the ice.
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Bolland completes comeback as Chicago downs Toronto in OT >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dave Bolland netted the game-winner 49 seconds
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5-4, at Air Canada Centre.
Patrick Sharp tallied two goals while Duncan Keith and
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Sportsbooks to bet on football
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
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